England won the Third-place play-off 6-4, and their first-half surge mattered most. Declan Rice scored in the 3rd minute, Ezri Konsa added another in the 18th with assistance from Declan Rice, and Bukayo Saka struck in the 37th and 45th minutes, assisted by Marcus Rashford and Eberechi Eze.
France’s response was driven by changes and Kylian Mbappé. Bradley Barcola and Ousmane Dembélé came on in the 46th minute, then Kylian Mbappé scored in the 48th and 66th minutes, both assisted by Michael Olise. Bradley Barcola scored in the 54th from Kylian Mbappé’s pass, before Ousmane Dembélé scored in the 90th from Dayot Upamecano’s pass.
The margins were fine statistically: both teams had 19 shots, but England had 11 on target to France’s 9. The model saw England at 38%, much closer than the market’s 23%.
| Model | 40% | 23% | 38% |
| Market (de-vig) | 54% | 23% | 23% |
Information only. No wagers.
Zavit match desk — generated from live match data