France’s 3-0 win over Sweden was built on control and pressure. A 21st-minute VAR offside call denied Kylian Mbappé, but he still opened the scoring in the 45th minute with assistance from Ousmane Dembélé, setting France on course.
The numbers underlined the gap between the sides. France had 61 percent possession, 25 shots, 12 on target and 9 corners, while Sweden managed 8 shots, 3 on target and 1 corner. The 53rd-minute goal by Bradley Barcola, assisted by Michael Olise, reflected that sustained attacking edge.
Michael Olise’s influence stood out. After assisting Barcola, he also set up Mbappé’s second goal in the 74th minute. The market was stronger on France than the model, rating them at 74 percent to win compared with 60 percent.
| Model | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| Market (de-vig) | 74% | 16% | 10% |
Information only. No wagers.
Zavit match desk — generated from live match data