Mexico’s 2-0 win over Ecuador was built early. Julián Quiñones opened the scoring in the 22nd minute with assistance from Roberto Alvarado, then set up Raúl Jiménez in the 31st minute. That quick combination gave Mexico control of the scoreline before halftime.
Ecuador had more of the ball, with 57% possession, and won 8 corners to Mexico’s 3, but Mexico were sharper in attack. Mexico produced 15 shots to Ecuador’s 7 and put 3 on target, while Ecuador managed only 1 effort on target.
The pre-match numbers pointed slightly toward Mexico, and the result followed that lean: the model gave Mexico a 46% win chance, compared with 42% from the market. Ecuador’s frustration showed with Alan Franco booked in the 45th minute, then late cards for Kendry Páez, Piero Hincapié and Moisés Caicedo.
| Model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market (de-vig) | 42% | 35% | 24% |
Information only. No wagers.
Zavit match desk — generated from live match data