South Africa had more of the ball but not enough edge with it. Their 58% possession produced only 6 shots and 1 on target, while Canada turned 42% possession into 12 shots, 7 on target and 4 corners.
Canada’s pressure finally counted at the end. Stephen Eustaquio scored in the 90th minute to decide a 0-1 win for Canada, after South Africa had made late changes with Tshepang Moremi and Iqraam Rayners introduced in the 86th minute.
The pre-match numbers leaned Canada’s way, and the result followed that direction. The model gave Canada a 42% win chance compared with South Africa’s 30%, while the market was even stronger on Canada at 52%. Canada also had both yellow cards, Nathan-Dylan Saliba in the 54th minute and Niko Sigur in the 67th.
| Model | 30% | 29% | 42% |
| Market (de-vig) | 20% | 28% | 52% |
Information only. No wagers.
Zavit match desk — generated from live match data